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Research Article
2026
:38;
622024
doi:
10.25259/JKSUS_62_2024

Assessing the enhanced vegetation index as a proxy for macrophyte species abundance in a brackish lake in Northern Chilean Patagonia

Instituto Iberoamericano de Desarrollo Sostenible (IIDS), Universidad Autónoma de Chile, Las Delicias 428, Temuco, 4780000, Chile
Département des Sciences Géomatiques, Université Laval, Unidad de Cambio Climático y Medio Ambiente (UCCMA), 1055 Du Séminaire Ave Bureau 1315, Laval, G1K 7P4, Québec, Canada
Departamento de Ciencias Biológicas y Químicas, Facultad de Recursos Naturales, Universidad Católica de Temuco, Casilla 15-D, 4780000, Temuco, Chile
Núcleo de Estudios Ambientales (NEA), Universidad Católica de Temuco, Avenida Rudecindo Ortega N° 02950 Campus San Juan Pablo II, Temuco, Chile
Secretaria Ministerial del Medio Ambiente de La Araucanía, Ministerio del Medio Ambiente, Lynch N° 550, Temuco, 4780000, Chile

* Corresponding author E-mail address: carlos.esse@uautonoma.cl (C Esse)

Licence
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-Share Alike 4.0 License, which allows others to remix, transform, and build upon the work non-commercially, as long as the author is credited and the new creations are licensed under the identical terms.

Abstract

Climate change may amplify the effects of human perturbations on lakes. The main goal of this study was to examine the relationship between the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and the presence of macrophyte species in Budi Lake, a shallow brackish lake in southern Chile. We used EVI as a discriminative index for macrophyte species to study their spatial and temporal dynamics. The EVI’s ability to operate at multiple temporal scales, decadal, annual, seasonal, monthly, and daily, allowed us to identify patterns and correlations between environmental variables and macrophyte abundance. This multiscale approach is essential for understanding ecological or anthropogenic processes influencing lake ecosystems over time. We used a combination of frequency, correlation, and principal component analyses (PCA) and found that macrophyte abundance inferred by the EVI declined from 2000 to 2017, and its relationship with environmental variables varied with the time scale used (i.e., decadal, annual, seasonal, monthly, daily). We suggest that salinity changes from managing lake-ocean connectivity in synergy with environmental variability could drive the dynamics of macrophyte abundance in Budi Lake. Our 2D PCA further revealed that this reconnection event coincides with the years of lowest EVI values (2007 and 2008), highlighting the relationship between brackish intrusion and reduced macrophyte abundance. Our findings provide valuable information about using remote sensing monitoring as a potential methodological approach for assessing macrophyte dynamics in lakes, which may contribute to managing lake ecosystems under global environmental change.

Keywords

Brackish lake
Environmental variables
EVI
Fourier analysis
PCA

1. Introduction

Human activities have significantly increased the pollution and eutrophication of lake ecosystems. Pollutants and excess nutrients disrupt ecosystem services, making the study of lake responses to anthropogenic disturbances crucial for the development of lake restoration strategies (Søndergaard, 2007; Cao et al., 2018). Climate change may exacerbate the effects of human-driven perturbations on lakes by increasing runoff from upper watersheds, thus introducing substantial nutrient loads into these aquatic systems (Esse et al., 2021; Correa-Araneda et al., 2022; Velázquez et al., 2022). Over recent decades, urban development, agriculture, aquaculture, and forestry have become major contributors to lake nutrient loads (Heathwaite, 1993; Oyarzún, 1997). Phosphorus and nitrogen are key determinants of primary production in lakes, acting as limiting or co-limiting nutrients for phytoplankton, periphyton, and macrophytes (Schindler, 1978; Maberly et al., 2003, 2020; Sterner, 2008). Indeed, the synergistic effects of climate change and increased nutrient inputs from human activities can lead to the eutrophication of lakes, impacting the socioecological systems associated with lakes.

Brackish lakes represent unique ecosystems that support global biodiversity. This study focuses on Budi Lake, a shallow coastal brackish lake in southern Chile renowned for its high conservation value and biodiversity, including many native fish and macrophyte species. Budi Lake faces significant threats from multiple anthropogenic stressors, such as increased tourism, agriculture, and forestry activities, and is at high risk for chronic eutrophication (Beltrán et al., 2006; Peña-Cortéz et al., 2006, 2020; Hauenstein et al., 1999). The lake’s primary producers (e.g., phytoplankton, macroalgae, and vascular hydrophytes) play critical roles in regulating limnological conditions and supporting various trophic levels (Basualto, 2006; De Los Rios-Escalante et al., 2020; De Los Rios-Escalante et al., 2022a; 2022b). The lake’s connectivity with the ocean is heavily managed to prevent floods, which influences salinity levels and may negatively impact primary producers. Yet, the effect of these multiple stressors on the abundance of macrophytes remains unknown.

Over the last decade, advances in remote sensing technologies have significantly enhanced our ability to study the spatial and temporal dynamics of ecosystems. The analysis of satellite imagery facilitates the evaluation of aquatic ecosystems, including their hydrological regimes and trophic states (De los Ríos-Escalante et al., 2017; Esse et al., 2018, 2022; Scordo et al., 2018). Mid-infrared (MIR) and near-infrared (NIR) wavelengths have proven effective for detecting terrestrial vegetation reflectance; however, their performance in aquatic environments has been less consistent. This highlights the need for the development of specialized spectral indices, such as NDWI1, NDWI2, MNDWI, and NDVI, to enhance the study of aquatic primary producers (Hestir, 2015; Massicotte et al., 2015; Attermeyer et al., 2016; Liang et al., 2017). The successful implementation of these indices in aquatic ecology is improving our understanding of the ecology of macrophytes. Currently, remote sensing techniques, in conjunction with classification algorithms, are used to detect patterns in macrophyte distribution as well as to characterize the influence of biotic, hydrologic, and edaphic factors on their zonation in salt marshes (Davranche et al., 2010; Sadro et al., 2007; Zheng et al., 2016).

Here, we conducted a remote-sensing-based study to assess the EVI’s performance as a proxy for macrophyte abundance in a brackish lake in Northern Chilean Patagonia. We analyzed the relationships between the abundance of macrophyte species, EVI value, and climatic variables at different temporal scales. Our findings provide a theoretical foundation and practical baseline for developing a monitoring system to manage lake ecosystems in the face of global environmental changes. The proposed approach can support evidence-based policymaking and guide conservation priorities in coastal lake systems increasingly threatened by anthropogenic and climatic pressures. In the context of Budi Lake, the results have direct implications for developing sustainable land-use and tourism practices while ensuring the ecological integrity of an ecosystem with high cultural and ecological value.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1 Study area

Budi Lake is a brackish lake located on the south-central coast of Chile in the Araucanía region (Fig. 1). The climate of the study area is Mediterranean with oceanic influence (Sarricolea et al., 2017). The mean annual precipitation is 1,183 mm, and the mean temperature is 12.3°C (Luebert & Pliscoff, 2017; Sarricolea et al., 2017).

Study area. Budi Lake is in the Mediterranean climate zone.
Fig. 1.
Study area. Budi Lake is in the Mediterranean climate zone.

The lake has a surface area of 55 km2, a maximum depth of 8 m, a maximum volume of 223 × 106 m3 (Stuardo et al., 1989), and a bottom composed mainly of sandy mud (> 87%) and gravel (< 13%) (Beltrán et al., 2006). The lake shows high seasonal variation in the mean organic material content (1% winter to 24% spring), mean bottom water temperature (10°C in autumn and winter to 21°C in summer), and phosphorus content (Campos et al., 2022). The lake is partially connected with the Pacific Ocean through the Budi River due to natural sediment accumulation in its mouth. However, since 2006, the river flow has been heavily managed to avoid floods, remaining sporadically open from autumn (April) to early spring (September). This discontinuous lake-ocean connectivity influences the output of sediment into the ocean and the input of marine waters into the lake, thereby regulating the lake’s salinity (10.0 g L-1 to 10.3 g L-1) (Beltrán et al., 2006).

Extensive sections of the littoral habitat are covered by organic sediments and macrophytes, which vary annually in both abundance and spatial distribution (Hauenstein et al., 1999b; Peña-Cortés et al., 2004). Regarding species composition, it is possible to find Callitriche palustres L., Cotula coronopifolia L., Hydrocotyle ranunculoides L.f. 1782, and Triglochin palustres L., which are indicators of eutrophication due to high nitrogen concentrations (Hauenstein et al., 1999b). The dominant macrophytes belong to the genus Myriophyllum, which form dense patches in shallow water (Hauenstein et al., 1999b; Antimán and Martínez, 2005; Sandoval, 2009).

2.2 Physicochemical parameters

We assessed the temporal variation in the growth of macrophytes in Budi Lake in relation to the physicochemical parameters of the water based on historical water quality data (monthly measurements of temperature, salinity, water level, dissolved oxygen, total phosphorus, and total nitrogen collected from 2006-2007) and supported by scientific literature on the ecology of aquatic macrophytes in eutrophic systems (Hauenstein et al., 1999; Sandoval, 2009).

To fill in the months without in situ measurements, we implemented a temporal interpolation using statistical estimation methods and eco-hydrodynamic modeling (1). Linear interpolation was applied to variables with well-defined seasonal trends, such as temperature and salinity.

1
X t = X t 1 + X t 2 X t 1 t 2 t 1 t t 1

Where   X t is the interpolated value at time t ; X t 1 and X t 2   are the measured values at time t 1 t 2 .

For parameters with non-linear variations, such as dissolved oxygen and nutrients, we developed regression models using historical records and the hydrological conditions of the basin (2). Additionally, we applied time series analyses with exponential smoothing to capture seasonal fluctuations and the effects of the lake bar opening on stratification and water mass mixing dynamics (Table 1).

2
S t = α X t + 1 α S t 1

Table 1. Physicochemical water quality data recorded for the 2006-2007 period.
Month Temperature Salinity Water level Dissolved oxygen Total Phosphorus Total Nitrogen
(°C) (ppt) (m) (mg L-1) (µg L-1) (µg L-1)
January 19.5 - 21.5 10.0 - 13.0 1.90 - 2.00 6.5 - 7.3 > 35 > 200
February 19.0 - 21.0 9.0 - 12.5 1.85 - 1.95 6.0 - 7.0 > 35 > 200
March 18.0 - 20.0 8.5 - 11.0 1.90 - 2.00 6.0 - 7.5 > 35 > 200
April 16.0 - 18.5 7.5 - 9.5 2.00 - 2.10 5.5 - 7.0 > 35 > 200
May 14.5 - 16.5 6.0 - 8.0 2.10 - 2.25 5.0 - 6.5 > 35 > 200
June 12.0 - 14.5 5.0 - 6.5 2.20 - 2.30 3.0 - 5.5 > 35 > 200
July 10.0 - 12.5 4.5 - 5.5 2.25 - 2.40 < 3a > 35 > 200
August 10.5 - 12.0 4.7 - 5.0 2.26 - 2.45 < 1b > 35 > 200
September 12.5 - 14.0 5.3 - 6.0 2.30 - 2.40 < 1b > 35 > 200
October 14.0 - 16.0 6.0 - 7.5 2.20 - 2.30 6.0 - 7.3 > 35 > 200
November 16.5 - 18.0 7.0 - 9.0 2.10 - 2.20 6.5 - 7.0 > 35 > 200
December 18.5 - 21.0 9.0 - 12.0 2.00 - 2.10 Not measuredc > 35 > 200

aPossible anoxia; b anoxia; c not measured, but anoxia at the bottom is reported.

Where   S t is the smoothed value at time t ; X t is the observed value; S t 1 is the previous smoothed value; and α is the smoothing factor ( 0 <   α < 1 ) .

We validated these interpolated data by comparing them with previous studies on comparable coastal lakes to minimize biases associated with extrapolations beyond the observed data.

Finally, we qualitatively established the correlation between physicochemical variables and macrophyte growth through a conceptual model based on critical thresholds of temperature, oxygen, and nutrients reported in the literature. This approach enabled the categorization of macrophyte growth into five levels (very low, low, moderate, high, and maximum) based on each species’ tolerance to the prevailing monthly environmental conditions. To achieve this, thresholds for each variable were defined from previous studies:

  • Temperature: Photosynthesis and macrophyte growth are favored between 15–25°C, with peak growth in summer (Wetzel, 2001). Temperatures below 10°C slow growth.

  • Dissolved oxygen: Values below 3 mg/L can lead to anoxia, affecting root development and reducing biomass (Carignan & Flett, 1981).

  • Nutrients: Phosphorus levels above 35 µg/L and nitrogen levels exceeding 200 µg/L promote excessive macrophyte growth, particularly that of Myriophyllum spp., contributing to eutrophication (Carpenter et al., 1998).

This analysis enabled the evaluation of the impact of seasonality, eutrophication, and anoxia on the dynamics of macrophyte communities, providing key information for the ecological management of Budi Lake and similar systems.

2.3 Aquatic vegetation index

We used the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), our discriminating index for macrophyte species in Budi Lake, to study the spatial and temporal dynamics of aquatic vegetation. We obtained EVI values using MODIS/Aqua Vegetation Indices (MYD13Q1); available at the USGS Earth Explorer geoportal (Scordo et al., 2018; Chavez et al. 2019, 2023). This vegetation index is available in composites with 16-day temporal and 250 m spatial resolutions; we selected all the MODIS EVI 16-day composites for the study area from 2000 to 2017. The EVI values reported in the NASA Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources document are EVI ×10-4; we added missing values to the original database using a suitable interpolation procedure. We tested several interpolators and selected a deterministic interpolator (Inverse Distance Weighting: IDW) and a stochastic one (Ordinary Kriging: OK) because they provided the best cross-validation analysis (Bivand et al., 2010). The sensitivity of the EVI improves in high-biomass regions, thus permitting better vegetation monitoring through the decoupling of background signals and a reduction of atmospheric effects, which facilitates the identification of macrophyte species on the lake’s surface (Huete et al., 2002).

The data preprocessing followed the recommendations of Didan (2015) and Chavez et al. (2019), which consisted of two steps: i) the elimination of contaminated and irrelevant pixels (e.g., pixels representing land and the Pacific Ocean) and ii) the removal of all pixels with a high probability of cloud contamination. Subsequently, we identified macrophyte pixels, areas indicating high concentrations of macrophytes, and corroborated these areas by a field survey.

2.4 Climatic and buoy data sets

To analyze the climatic variability of the study area, we gathered two datasets: one from the NASA Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources (hereafter, “NASA data”) and the other from a telemetric buoy for real-time monitoring of lake water quality parameters (hereafter, “buoy data”). The regional office of the Ministry of the Environment installed the buoy in the southeastern area of the lake in 2016, and it remains operational during the first 6 months (January-June). The first data set consisted of ten variables recorded bimonthly (on the 1st and 16th of each month) from 2000 to 2017 (Table 2), resulting in an 11 × 415 climatic georeferenced matrix. The second dataset consisted of nine environmental variables, recorded every 15 min, which resulted in a 10 × 13,583 climatic matrix in 2016 (Table 3).

Table 2. Climatic variables analyzed.
Main variable Abbreviation Definition Unit
Temperature T2M Temperature at 2 m °C
T2M_MAX Maximum Temperature at 2 m °C
T2M_MIN Minimum Temperature at 2 m °C
T2M_RANGE Temperature Range at 2 m °C
Humidity/Precipitation QV2M Specific Humidity at 2 m g Kg-1
RH2M Relative Humidity at 2 m %
PRECTOT Precipitation mm
Wind/Pressure PS Surface Pressure KPa
WS10M Wind Speed at 10 m m s-1
Solar Fluxes TIR Thermal Infrared W m-2
Table 3. Buoy data climatic variables analyzed.
Main variable Abbreviation Unit
Wind speed WIND_SPD m s-1
Wind direction WIND_DRTN degree (°)
Wind burst WIND_BRST m s-1
Air temperature AIR_TEMP °C
Solar radiation SOLAR_RAD W m-2
Chlorophyll fluorescence CHL_FLUO ug l-1
Water surface temperature WATER_TEMP_1M °C
Water medium temperature WATER_TEMP_4M °C
Water bottom temperature WATER_TEMP_7.5M °C

2.5 Data analysis

First, we performed a frequency analysis (FA) based on the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT), followed by a principal component analysis (PCA) on the EVI data and the first set of climatic variables (NASA data). Second, we conducted correlation analysis and PCA on the nine variables of the second set of climatic data (buoy data) and the EVI values. The FA allows partitioning of data variation into components according to the timescale over which variation occurs. The development of the FFT by Cooley and Tukey (1965) rapidly became an indispensable analysis technique in digital signal processing (Elliot, 1987; Rao et al., 2010). Although the original version of the FFT required an integer power of two for the number of data points, we used the version available in MATLAB that is free from such a constraint. However, it is important to note that the FFT assumes the data are periodic. FFT analysis performs poorly when applied to non-periodic data. In addition, the FFT is a discrete transform connected to the Nyquist sampling theorem (3), where Δf is the frequency scale, N is the number of samples, and Δt is the distance or time.

3
Δ f = 1 N Δ t

Using the FFT requires that the data be sampled at discrete, equally spaced temporal or spatial points. Our data satisfy these requirements as we have 415 data points and two monthly observations for a 17-year period (2000-2017). We calculated power spectra for the variables available in the NASA dataset.

Third, we performed a PCA. PCA is a data-driven method, which serves as a useful tool for examining data structure. Commonly, a set of multivariate data (Tables 1 and 2 and images in our case) will exhibit significant redundancy, as variables are often highly correlated. PCA is one of the most widely used multivariate methods for reproducing the original sample data in a few orthogonal dimensions (Eastman and Fulk, 1993), and it is in this sense that we used PCA in this work. PCA removes any existing inter-band correlation in the original data. Its key characteristic is that the first component accounts for most of the variance in the original data, with each successive component representing a smaller amount of variance than its predecessor (Quinn and Keough, 2002). Therefore, the sum of the variances of all the new components equals the total variance of the input data. We used PCA in two ways: i) to identify relationships between the EVI and climatic variables (at temporal scales of 17 years for the NASA data and 5 months for the buoy data) and ii) to create new spectral bands from satellite images (two-dimensional PCA). Two methods are available for performing a PCA: Principal components are calculated from i) the variance-covariance matrix (the non-standardized method) or ii) the correlation matrix (the standardized approach, SPCA). This distinction is important because the principal components are influenced by the variances found in the original data, with variables showing higher variance having a greater weight in the generated components. Using the standardized method would thus ensure that each variable is treated equally (Singh and Harrison, 1985). This may bias results in the time series data (Tables 1 and 2); consequently, we used the SPCA (Minitab v16.0) with the time series data and the non-standardized method with the EVI images (ENVI V5.0).

3. Results

3.1 Variation of macrophyte growth in association with water quality

Myriophyllum spp. growth remained dominant throughout the year, reaching its peak in spring and summer due to the combination of elevated temperatures and nutrient concentrations. Callitriche palustris, Cotula coronopifolia, and Triglochin palustris also exhibited enhanced growth during warm periods, particularly when nitrogen levels were high. However, their biomass significantly declined in winter due to low temperatures and the presence of anoxic conditions. In contrast, Hydrocotyle ranunculoides stood out for its resilience, maintaining stable growth even under less favorable conditions. Nevertheless, during August and September, anoxia caused a drastic reduction in the growth of all species, particularly affecting Myriophyllum spp. and Callitriche palustris (Table 4).

Table 4. Variation in the growth of macrophyte species in relation to the physicochemical parameters of Budi Lake (Adapted from Sandoval, 2009).
Month Species
Callitriche palustris Cotula coronopifolia Hydrocotyle ranunculoides Triglochin palustris Myriophyllum spp.
January High a High Moderate-high High Maximum
February High High High High Maximum
March High High High High Maximum
April Moderate-high Moderate-high High High Maximum
May Moderate Moderate High Moderate-high High
June Moderate-low b Moderate-low Moderate Moderate Moderate
July Low c Low Moderate-low Low Low
August Very low d Very low Low Low Very low
September Low Moderate-low Moderate-low Low Low
October Moderate-high e Moderate-high High High High
November High High High High High
December High High High High Maximum

aHigh temperature and nutrients; b low temperature and oxygen; c low temperature, possible anoxia; d anoxia; c increase in temperature and oxygen.

3.2 Exploratory analysis of NASA data

Environmental variables derived from the NASA data showed a weak correlation with EVI values (R2 < 0.1), with only four variables (QV2M, T2M_MAX, T2M, and TIR) without outliers in their boxplots (Fig. 2a). We assessed these correlations at the decadal scale (an observation period of 17.3 years). We also calculated the same coefficients on a seasonal scale to test their dependence on temporal resolution. The obtained values were slightly higher; the highest positive value of the Pearson coefficient corresponded to PRECTOT in autumn (0.16), while the negative equivalent belonged to PS in summer (-0.15) (not shown). Additionally, the Pearson coefficients exhibited the highest absolute values (positive or negative) in summer and the lowest in spring. In contrast, EVI values were moderately correlated with the environmental variables derived from the buoy data, with correlations of 30% with water temperature, 28% with chl-fluorescence and air temperature variables, 21% with solar radiation, but less than 10% with wind variables (Fig. 2b).

Correlation analysis for the database under study. (a) NASA data; (b) Buoy data.
Fig. 2.
Correlation analysis for the database under study. (a) NASA data; (b) Buoy data.

3.3 Temporal trends in aquatic vegetation using NASA data

Analysis of the EVI time series from 2000 to 2017 revealed two main trends (Figs. 3a and c):

(a-c) Temporal dynamics, seasonal differences, and interannual variation of EVI.
Fig. 3.
(a-c) Temporal dynamics, seasonal differences, and interannual variation of EVI.

i) A general decrease in EVI values over time with variable rates (Fig. 3a), and ii) a periodicity of 6-7 years, suggesting cyclical environmental or ecological processes affecting aquatic vegetation dynamics (Figs. 3a-c). The highest EVI values were recorded in the winter of 2001, with a notable decrease until the summer of 2007, followed by intermittent periods of random variation leading to a stabilized lower EVI value from 2013 onwards. The EVI values for winter, spring, and autumn (2000 to 2016) exhibited similar profiles (Fig. 3b), while the summers showed the highest EVI values in 2005 and 2012 (Fig. 3c).

Examples of power spectra from environmental variables. (a) RH2M, (b) T2M, (c) PRECTOT, (d) WS10M, (e) TIR, (f) PS. Component identification is #1: 7 months, #2: 1.2 years, #3: 2.0 years, #4: 12.8 years, #5: 2.8 years, #6: 14.2 years, #8: 5.2 years. To notice the substantial difference in power shown by the RH2M, T2M, and PRECTOT spectra against WS10M, TIR, and PS spectra.
Fig. 4.
Examples of power spectra from environmental variables. (a) RH2M, (b) T2M, (c) PRECTOT, (d) WS10M, (e) TIR, (f) PS. Component identification is #1: 7 months, #2: 1.2 years, #3: 2.0 years, #4: 12.8 years, #5: 2.8 years, #6: 14.2 years, #8: 5.2 years. To notice the substantial difference in power shown by the RH2M, T2M, and PRECTOT spectra against WS10M, TIR, and PS spectra.

3.4 Spectral analysis of climatic variables

The spectral analysis of climatic variables showed distinct levels of complexity and power spectra. Variables related to humidity and precipitation exhibited similar spectral patterns with a dominant frequency at 1.2 years and, for PRECTOT, an additional dominant frequency at 12.6 years (Figs. 4a and c). Temperature-related variables shared a similar dominant frequency (Fig. 4b). In contrast, air pressure-related variables (WS10M and PS) exhibited multiple dominant frequencies (Figs. 4d and f), suggesting more complex interactions with climatic processes.

The EVI’s spectrum showed three dominant frequencies, ranging from three to eight months, with components #1, #2, and #3 (Fig. 5). Therefore, the physical phenomena responsible for the variations in EVI value occurred on sub-annual time scales. In contrast, those affecting environmental variables occurred on a larger timescale, reflecting a decoupling between the time scales driving EVI dynamics and those affecting environmental variables. Fig. 5 shows that the one-month frequency dominated from 2000-2017 (total observing period) (Fig. 5a) and 2006-2009 (the period with the minimum values in EVI) (Fig. 5c). In contrast, the 5- and 8-month components led the periods from 2000-2006, characterized by a steep decreasing trend in EVI values (Fig. 5b), and from 2010-2017, a period marked by a slight decline in EVI values (Fig. 5d).

EVI power spectra. (a) 2000 to 2017; (b) 2000 to 2006; (c) 2007 to 2009; (d) 2010 to 2017. Spectral lines identification: #1: 1 month, #2 and #3: 5 to 8 months, #4: 1.2 years, #5: 2.4 years, #6: 2.7 years.
Fig. 5.
EVI power spectra. (a) 2000 to 2017; (b) 2000 to 2006; (c) 2007 to 2009; (d) 2010 to 2017. Spectral lines identification: #1: 1 month, #2 and #3: 5 to 8 months, #4: 1.2 years, #5: 2.4 years, #6: 2.7 years.

3.5 Association between aquatic vegetation and climatic variables (NASA data) at multiple temporal scales

The PCA revealed that the EVI’s contribution to the explained variance in PC1 and PC2 was minimal at decadal and seasonal scales, with EVI scores of -0.074 for PC1 and -0.105 for PC2. However, on an annual scale, results varied significantly between two periods: i) from 2000-2007 and ii) from 2008-2015. During the first period (2000-2007), temperature-related variables (T2M, T2M MAX, and T2M MIN) and PS were the main contributors. Temperature variables contributed positively, while PS contributed negatively to PC1. In contrast, EVI value made a negligible contribution to this component (score < 0.01) (Fig. 6).

(a-h) Graphs PC1 vs. PC2; In (a-d) for the period 2000 to 2003; (b) and (c) show a significant contribution from EVI; In (e-h) period 2004 to 2007, with EVI a very high contribution.
Fig. 6.
(a-h) Graphs PC1 vs. PC2; In (a-d) for the period 2000 to 2003; (b) and (c) show a significant contribution from EVI; In (e-h) period 2004 to 2007, with EVI a very high contribution.

Temperature variables and PS followed a similar pattern of influence on PCA axes during the second period (2008-2015). The influence of EVI value, however, fluctuated over time: PC2 was strongly negatively influenced by EVI value in 2008, but EVI value did not strongly influence either PCA axis between 2009 and 2012. PC2 was again strongly influenced by EVI value from 2013-2015 (Fig. 7).

Graphs PC1 vs PC2; (a-d) for 2008 to 2011; (e-h) for 20012 to 2016 loading factors.
Fig. 7.
Graphs PC1 vs PC2; (a-d) for 2008 to 2011; (e-h) for 20012 to 2016 loading factors.

3.6 Climatic variability

Our correlation analysis between the environmental variables and the EVI performed at different temporal scales revealed varying levels of association. At a decadal scale, the temperature-related variables and QV2M were the most positively correlated with EVI value, whereas T2M_RANGE and PRECTOT were the most negatively correlated environmental variables with EVI value (Fig. 2). We found that, on an annual scale, the environmental variables can be broadly classified into temperature-related and humidity-related categories (Figs. 6 and 7).

3.7 Two-dimensional PCA on NASA data

The two-dimensional PCA focusing on the years with the highest and lowest EVI values (2001 and 2008) showed that PC1 accounted for most of the variance (73.93% in 2001 and 68.53% in 2008; Table 5). The images obtained from PC1 and PC2, displayed as false-color spectral

Table 5. Variance explained by each principal component in 2001 and 2008.
PCA Variance 2001 (%) Variance 2008 (%) Difference (%)
1 73.93 68.53 5.40
2 12.33 12.89 -0.56
3 8.72 11.54 -2.82
4 5.02 7.04 -2.03

3.8 Buoy data and EVI value correlation analysis

Analysis of the buoy data showed strong correlations among similar groups of climatic variables, with nearly perfect correlation coefficients among the four water temperature measurements (∼100%). EVI value showed a moderate correlation with water temperature (30%), chl-fluorescence and air temperature variables (28%), and solar radiation (21%), but less than 10% with wind variables (Fig. 8).

Graph PC1 vs PC2 for EVI and buoy data. This graph shows the loading factors for the EVI and Buoy data from the end of January 2016 to the beginning of June 2016.
Fig. 8.
Graph PC1 vs PC2 for EVI and buoy data. This graph shows the loading factors for the EVI and Buoy data from the end of January 2016 to the beginning of June 2016.

PCA indicated that EVI value and the chl-fluorescence variable significantly influenced PC2, highlighting their potential association with aquatic vegetation dynamics (Fig. 9).

Buoy data correlations among similar groups of climatica variables. (a) and (b) show the correlations of EVI and CHL_FLOU vs. climatic variables respectively. WIND_SPD: Wind speed, WIND_DRTN: Wind direction, WIND_BRST: Wind burst, AIR_TEMP: Air temperature, SOLAR_RAD: Solar radiation, CHL_FLUO: Chlorophyll fluorescence, WATER_TEMP_1M: Water surface temperature, WATER_TEMP_4M: Water medium temperature, WATER_TEMP_7.5M: Water bottom temperature.
Fig. 9.
Buoy data correlations among similar groups of climatica variables. (a) and (b) show the correlations of EVI and CHL_FLOU vs. climatic variables respectively. WIND_SPD: Wind speed, WIND_DRTN: Wind direction, WIND_BRST: Wind burst, AIR_TEMP: Air temperature, SOLAR_RAD: Solar radiation, CHL_FLUO: Chlorophyll fluorescence, WATER_TEMP_1M: Water surface temperature, WATER_TEMP_4M: Water medium temperature, WATER_TEMP_7.5M: Water bottom temperature.

4. Discussion

4.1 Temporal variability of aquatic vegetation inferred via the EVI

Our study indicates that macrophyte abundance, as inferred from the EVI, decreased between 2000 and 2017. Macrophytes are key components of lake ecosystems, providing food sources and habitats for various trophic levels, thereby influencing the functionality of lakes (Dubey & Dutta, 2020). In saline ecosystems, salinity tolerance is the main factor defining the niche of macrophytes (Haller et al., 1974). It varies among taxa (Haller et al., 1974), determining their distribution in coastal lakes (Grzybowski et al., 2023). We argue that salinity changes resulting from the management of lake-ocean connectivity (Sandoval et al., 2009) can drive the dynamics of macrophyte abundance in Budi Lake. We identified two distinct periods of lake-ocean connectivity. The first was before 2006, when the lake remained isolated from the ocean. The second period, after 2006, was characterized by frequent connections resulting from sediment removal and channel opening (Sandoval et al., 2009). Our results for the macrophyte-EVI time series concur with the changes in the lake-ocean connectivity (Attermeyer, 2016). Therefore, we hypothesize that during the first period (i.e., no lake-ocean connection), low salinity may have benefitted macrophytes with lower salinity tolerance (i.e., <10 g L-1).

In contrast, saltwater intrusion may have favored salt-tolerant macrophyte species during the second period (i.e., lake-ocean reconnection). This salinity-driven temporal shift in macrophyte composition has recently been reported in the literature (Moreira et al., 2023). We assert that systematic monitoring of the EVI is an appropriate methodological tool for assessing the dynamics of macrophytes in lakes. We demonstrate that EVI values can capture the lake-ocean reconnection, particularly in regions near the mouth. Our 2D PCA analysis further revealed that this reconnection event coincided with the years exhibiting the lowest EVI values (2007 and 2008), highlighting the relationship between brackish intrusion and reduced macrophyte abundance. Although a decreasing trend in EVI values persisted throughout our study period, the lake-ocean reconnection, in conjunction with environmental variability, likely decreased the abundance of macrophytes with low salinity tolerance.

4.2 Association between aquatic vegetation and climatic variables

Physicochemical variables are the primary components of a species’ fundamental niche and regulate the distribution of macrophytes in aquatic ecosystems (Sedighifar, 2020). As evidenced by their relationship with vegetation indices (including the EVI), climatic factors such as temperature and precipitation can shape macrophyte communities (Van Echelpoel & Goethals, 2018). While direct correlations between EVI values and specific climatic variables may not always be immediately apparent, lagged effects (particularly with factors such as rainfall) underscore the complex relationship between environmental variables and vegetation dynamics (Sedighifar, 2020). Our results show that the relationship between environmental variables and macrophyte abundance varies depending on the time scale used. For example, we identified associations between temperature and precipitation variables at an annual scale and macrophyte abundance and EVI values, but we did not observe these associations at a decadal scale. However, authors such as Piri et al. (2020) indicate that the response of macrophyte communities to environmental disturbance may operate on long-term scales.

We identified two environmental groups of variables that could influence macrophyte abundance (see section 4.1). The first group was primarily composed of temperature-related variables, which consistently and positively contributed to the variation captured by PC1 each year. The second group predominantly influenced PC2, with variables such as T2M_RANGE contributing more evenly to both PC1 and PC2. Temperature is also a primary factor influencing the distribution of macrophytes, regulating their physiological processes (Santa Maria and van Vierssen, 1997). Temperature affects lake salinity through its influence on evaporation rates and, indirectly, the photosynthetic rates of macrophytes (Santa Maria and van Vierssen, 1997). These results are consistent with those observed by Van Echelpoel and Goethals (2018) and Sedighifar (2020).

Salinization profoundly affects macrophytes at both individual and community levels. A minority of non-halophytic macrophyte species can tolerate salinities greater than 10 g/L. An increase in salinity could lead to a shift towards the dominance of floating macrophytes or even phytoplankton, altering the ecological dynamics of the lake (e.g., Moreira et al., 2023). The lake-ocean reconnection conducted in 2006 by opening the mouth of the Budi River would have increased salinity levels, primarily in the area near the river mouth. This situation would have restricted the growth of some macrophyte species, which was reflected in the decrease in EVI values observed following the ocean-lake reconnection. Seawater intrusion may have also generated a salinity gradient in the lake that resulted in different habitat conditions for macrophytes and influenced their spatial dynamics according to their respective salt tolerance (Hu et al., 2020). However, additional sampling efforts are required to confirm these effects.

4.3 Importance of multi-temporal dependence in the analysis of spectral indices for understanding macrophyte dynamics

Integrating analyses at multiple temporal scales is crucial to understanding how spectral indices such as the EVI can capture and characterize the dynamics of aquatic vegetation in response to environmental variables (e.g., Steyer et al., 2013; Sapiens et al., 2014; Dale et al. 2020). In our study, applying decadal, annual, seasonal, and monthly scales allowed us to identify complex, subtle patterns that were not apparent when observing only a single temporal scale. This multiscale approach is fundamental because climate variability and ecological interactions influence the abundance and distribution of macrophytes at different rates and scales (Cui et al., 2019).

Our spectral analysis showed that the EVI value is primarily driven by sub-annual components (three to eight months), while climatic variables such as humidity and precipitation exhibit dominant periodicities at broader temporal scales. This mismatch reflects a temporal decoupling between climatic drivers and vegetative response. Similar sub-annual responses of aquatic vegetation to environmental drivers have been reported in other shallow lake systems, where macrophytes respond quickly to short-term changes in hydrology and temperature (Villa et al., 2012; Liu et al., 2015). At the decadal scale, temperature-related variables and QV2M were positively correlated with EVI value, indicating that long-term warming and increased humidity support macrophyte persistence. This finding is consistent with observations from subtropical and temperate lakes, where sustained temperature increases and stable humidity regimes have been linked to increased macrophyte productivity and range expansion (Jeppesen et al., 2014; Herbert et al., 2015). In contrast, temperature variability and precipitation showed negative associations that were possibly linked to increased runoff or salinity stress; these factors have previously been shown to reduce macrophyte cover and alter community structure in brackish and freshwater systems (Zhou et al., 2019; Hilt et al., 2018).

The relationships became more distinct at annual and seasonal scales, with temperature and humidity variables forming a consistent cluster and highlighting short-term physiological responses. Comparable patterns have been observed in other remote sensing studies, where intra-annual variability in thermal and moisture conditions played a central role in driving macrophyte phenology (Han et al., 2025; Villa et al., 2015). TIR followed a stable seasonal pattern except in summer, where changes may have reflected shifts in productivity or macrophyte composition. Seasonal saturation of vegetation indices during peak biomass periods have also been documented in aquatic systems; potentially reflecting physiological limits or shifts in species composition (Hestir et al., 2015; Riis et al., 2012). PCA results from years with contrasting EVI values (e.g., 2001 and 2008) further revealed spatial heterogeneity, especially during winter. This highlights the importance of spatiotemporal monitoring.

Collectively, these results highlight the importance of integrating multi-temporal satellite data with climate indicators to enhance the understanding of aquatic vegetation dynamics. Such an approach improves our ability to detect change, anticipate ecological shifts, and inform lake management under ongoing climatic pressures.

4.4 Management implications and future directions

The conservation of freshwater ecosystems is one of the main goals of contemporary conservation strategies worldwide. Freshwater ecosystems are among the most threatened globally and provide essential ecosystem services that support human well-being (Cardinale et al., 2012; Ahmed et al., 2023). Here, we demonstrated how human-mediated intervention, specifically the management of lake-ocean connectivity, can influence macrophyte communities and potentially affect the entire lake ecosystem. The management of lake-ocean connectivity may also affect diadromous species (i.e., anadromous, catadromous, and amphidromous), species that migrate seasonally between freshwater and marine ecosystems to complete their life cycles, impacting the transfer of energy, nutrients, and physiologically important biomolecules between aquatic ecosystems (e.g., Lamberti et al., 2010; Figueroa-Muñoz, 2021, 2022a). We assert that using remote sensing monitoring through the EVI at different temporal scales is an appropriate methodological approach for assessing the dynamics of macrophytes in lakes, which may contribute to managing lake ecosystems under global environmental change. Therefore, we encourage the implementation of remote sensing monitoring, complemented by in situ sampling of environmental variables, to ensure the robust management of the Budi Lake ecosystem and other brackish lakes globally.

5. Conclusions

We conducted a remote sensing study to analyze the relationship between climatic variables and the presence of macrophyte species in a brackish lake at different temporal scales (NASA data). Our results showed that the EVI can be successfully used as an indicator of macrophyte presence. Using the EVI, we captured a marked decline in macrophyte abundance from 2000 to 2017 following the ocean-lake reconnection, which resulted in an intrusion of saltwater into the lake and likely impacted macrophytes. We also found that the relationship between EVI value and the climatic variables varied according to the temporal scale used (e.g., decadal, annual, seasonal, and monthly), highlighting the importance of incorporating multiscale analysis to untangle the complex relationship among climatic variables and macrophyte abundance in lakes. We propose that implementing the EVI is a suitable methodological tool for assessing macrophytes’ dynamics in lake ecosystems, which should be supported by in situ surveys.

Our findings have direct implications for the development of early warning and monitoring systems in coastal and brackish lake ecosystems vulnerable to hydrological and climatic alterations. The integration of satellite-based vegetation indices with multiscale climatic data can support adaptive lake management, guide conservation planning, and inform sustainable land-use policies. Future research should prioritize the validation of remote sensing approaches with field-based macrophyte surveys and explore their applicability across a broader range of lake types and biogeographic contexts.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank Fondecyt 1240447, Anillo ATE220047, MECESUP UCT 0804, Fondecyt 1231551 projects for their support and encouragement. Lara S. Katz from the University of Maine helped edit this English edition.

CRediT authorship contribution statement

Carlos Esse: Conceptualization, methodology, formal analysis, supervision, writing-original draft, writing-review and editing, data curation and validation. Alfonso Condal: Conceptualization, methodology, formal analysis, software and validation. Patricio De Los Ríos: Sampling, data curation. Pablo Etcharren-Ulloa: Sampling, data curation. Rodrigo Santander-Massa: Sampling, data curation, funding acquisition. Guillermo Figueroa-Muñoz: Data analysis, writing-original draft, writing-review and editing. Guido Roa: Sampling and data curation. Daniela Rivera-Ruiz: writing-original draft, writing-review and editing, formal analysis, software and validation.

Declaration of competing interest

The authors declare that they have no competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have influenced the work presented in this paper.

Data availability

The data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author. They are not publicly available due to privacy.

Declaration of Generative AI and AI-assisted technologies in the writing process

The authors confirm that they have used Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Assisted Technology for assisting in the writing or editing of the manuscript or image creations.

Funding

This work was supported by the Anillo ATE220060 project.

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